Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.205147 1.473794 1.822837 2.326038 3.063801 4.163883 6.064541
2025-11-16 0.851208 1.136335 1.563998 2.306856 3.714087 6.730558 16.131143
2025-11-23 0.663467 0.930394 1.365922 2.218637 4.165896 9.924408 48.783631
2025-11-30 0.574281 0.839280 1.304328 2.321540 5.138017 17.656136 708.062881
2025-12-07 0.502088 0.754917 1.221996 2.331731 5.933380 30.422034 NaN
2025-12-14 0.441790 0.677316 1.128307 2.266251 6.452148 50.049231 NaN
2025-12-21 0.398156 0.621152 1.062273 2.239996 7.155321 97.456091 NaN
2025-12-28 0.379032 0.606428 1.078334 2.452346 9.550271 755.467343 NaN
2026-01-04 0.356217 0.580487 1.062714 2.564253 11.896310 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.330655 0.545215 1.017323 2.555068 13.503419 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.305228 0.506978 0.957341 2.467059 14.258739 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.289057 0.485800 0.935385 2.516206 17.083251 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.276662 0.471483 0.929314 2.636777 22.395536 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.261131 0.448769 0.897311 2.633034 26.185826 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.244204 0.421337 0.848183 2.529404 27.281801 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.235898 0.411884 0.846498 2.655133 37.910380 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.225223 0.396055 0.824221 2.667675 46.478490 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.213255 0.376262 0.787669 2.587980 50.009423 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.203540 0.360794 0.761561 2.556082 57.813194 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.201002 0.361459 0.783002 2.815106 118.542426 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.195818 0.355451 0.783316 2.952512 222.840677 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.188311 0.343325 0.762739 2.941212 317.508349 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.179737 0.328063 0.730359 2.833136 339.674323 NaN NaN